Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.357639 0.464966 0.581769 0.716550 0.866180 1.025803 1.207632
2025-09-14 0.197412 0.333665 0.499755 0.708004 0.954677 1.231512 1.560255
2025-09-21 0.115379 0.253748 0.440451 0.689832 0.998521 1.356080 1.791110
2025-09-28 0.079887 0.223884 0.435207 0.730721 1.107426 1.552563 2.102172
2025-10-05 0.058334 0.206856 0.441515 0.781755 1.225059 1.756425 2.419258
2025-10-12 0.039979 0.187745 0.440426 0.819891 1.324365 1.936823 2.707694
2025-10-19 0.030575 0.182198 0.457561 0.881329 1.452340 2.151370 3.036284
2025-10-26 0.021125 0.171497 0.464303 0.926861 1.558867 2.339112 3.332540
2025-11-02 0.010459 0.148552 0.447264 0.936245 1.616583 2.465568 3.554360
2025-11-09 0.001287 0.108198 0.392366 0.885587 1.591342 2.486310 3.646311
2025-11-16 NaN 0.072627 0.336129 0.826709 1.550709 2.484547 3.708245
2025-11-23 NaN 0.053682 0.307548 0.807261 1.561642 2.546420 3.846676
2025-11-30 NaN 0.042854 0.295664 0.815996 1.615010 2.667269 4.064232
2025-12-07 NaN 0.030490 0.274937 0.808289 1.644652 2.757771 4.245102
2025-12-14 NaN 0.018938 0.249032 0.788403 1.654636 2.821017 4.390491
2025-12-21 NaN 0.017947 0.258784 0.832341 1.758098 3.007618 4.691368
2025-12-28 NaN 0.018418 0.274278 0.886906 1.877393 3.215354 5.019143
2026-01-04 NaN 0.017150 0.282312 0.927640 1.976252 3.396112 5.313025
2026-01-11 NaN 0.018969 0.303582 0.993131 2.112052 3.626121 5.669431
2026-01-18 NaN 0.018676 0.315694 1.041582 2.222607 3.822724 5.983770
2026-01-25 NaN 0.014170 0.307500 1.051560 2.275650 3.942761 6.201203
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005538 0.267341 0.997666 2.231235 3.931624 6.251390
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000746 0.225499 0.934913 2.170253 3.896132 6.268869